Hurricanes on 1998 Level for Events > $45 Mn.

Other Windstorms on 1998 Level for Events > $45 Mn.

Earthquakes on 1998 Level for Events > $45 Mn.

Since Earthquake losses show a similar increase in frequency and severity, we have to suspect that the cause is not only our tailpipe emissions.

• Increased relative housing density in high-risk areas is a more likely culprit


• Tested a regression model that included an Earthquake variable, and a compound effect for earthquake and year.

Credibility is another concern.

• If we deleted Northridge and Andrew the answers change significantly. How much weight should two points get?


• If we added the 1906 Earthquake and 1938 Hurricane, the answers change significantly. How much weight should two non-points get?

Simultaneous Fits for EQ and Non-EQ Events

Two other issues

Global Warming vs. Local Warming

El nino: East vs. West

New Jersey
Teterboro and Newark

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